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"Mortgage Crisis," shouts the New York Times. The Times has used the
term "subprime crisis" at least 11 times. Not in opinion columns -- in
news stories.
The columns are worse. Paul Krugman writes: "A lot of the
financial system looks like it's going to shrivel up and have to be
rebuilt."
The "financial crisis," says Fortune's senior editor, "is
threatening to bring down the entire system, with dire consequences."
When the current troubles aren't a "crisis," they're a
"disaster" (http://tinyurl.com/6c7je6). That's what John McCain called
them, while Hillary Clinton prefers "crisis," saying, "This market is
clearly broken, and, if we don't fix it, it could threaten our entire
housing market."
Wait a second.
Where is this "credit crisis"? Did the supermarket reject
your Visa card? I still see Ditech commercials offering fixed-rate
mortgages at around 5.5 percent.
Sure, some lenders are skittish while things play out. Some
investment banks and brokerage houses are sitting on shaky
mortgage-backed securities. But why call that a "crisis"?
Do we have 25 percent unemployment, as we did during the
Depression? Do we even have 7.5 percent unemployment, 12 percent
inflation and 20 percent interest rates, as we did during Jimmy Carter's
presidency?
There's a been a loss of jobs in the past two months, but
that comes after years of strong job creation -- 25 million net jobs in
the last 15 years. At 5.1 percent, unemployment is low by historical
standards.
And are we really experiencing a mortgage-default "crisis"?
No. The Mortgage Bankers Association's 2007 fourth-quarter survey
reports that foreclosures came to 2.04 percent of all mortgages. Many of
those were speculators seeking flip profits rather than homeowners
losing a dream house. During the quarter, only 0.83 percent of homes
entered the foreclosure process. It may get worse -- in March,
"foreclosure filings, default notices, auction sale notices and bank
repossessions rose 5 percent," Reuters reports. But let's keep things in
perspective: Ninety-eight percent of borrowers are not in foreclosure.
Only a small percentage of them are even late in payments.
Politicians love a "crisis." John McCain, Hillary Clinton and
Barack Obama all think that the government should bail out homeowners
who can't pay their mortgages. When they say the government should do
this, they mean the taxpayers, including those who are paying their
mortgages. They also think the government should regulate the lending
and investment industries further.
Why?
Because "crisis" justifies making big government bigger.
It's why we now have a global warming "crisis" and in
previous years we had "crises" over avian flu, the Y2K threat to
computers, imaginary cancer spikes caused by pesticides, killer bees
flying up from Mexico, and uncontrolled population growth leading to a
"Population Bomb" that will bring "riots and mass starvation" by the
year 2000.
This is not to say that lots of homebuyers aren't having a
hard time. But the rapid rise and fall in housing values in some parts
of the country -- and the rippling consequences at each stage -- do not
justify scrapping what we know about economic success and turning to
government control. Prosperity and stability come from people being free
to innovate and produce -- and yes, fail. Bureaucrats, however
well-intentioned, cannot know enough to manage that process. They are
unqualified to give the green light to some innovations and the red
light to others. Bailouts create irresponsibility.
I expect the silly people to say silly things. Here's Paul
Krugman: "[I]t's puzzling that Democrats haven't been more aggressive
about making the disaster an issue for the 2008 election. They should
be."
Keith Olbermann even seems to find the "crisis" exciting.
"You watch, this is going to make Enron look like the failure of a
lemonade stand."
But the rest of us should get a grip. The best regulator of
economic activity and source of knowledge is free competition.
Of course, government inhibits that in many ways. If we want
to avoid disruptions like the current one, let's undertake a wholesale
examination of government intervention in the economy. Freedom, not
control, is the ticket to success.
John Stossel is co-anchor of ABC News' "20/20" and the author
of "Myth, Lies, and Downright Stupidity: Get Out the Shovel -- Why
Everything You Know is Wrong," which is now out in paperback.
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